Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xad9c…9889
sports · 9 markets active 1d ago
0.0score
+$219,148 +38%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$219,148 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$219,148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses3 / 6
Est. fees paid−$9,982
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage8d
Avg bet$64,380
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$237,623
7 days+$112,686
14 days+$219,148
30 days+$219,148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Spurs 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 46¢ 0¢ $236,491 $0 −$236,491 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $526 $0 −$526 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1,597 $0 −$1,597 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $240,320 −$236,491 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $854 −$606 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $549 −$526 -96%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $154,020 +$132,104 +86%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $112,555 +$218,204 +194%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $66,175 +$109,177 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 02 $474 −$474 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 02 $1,671 −$1,597 -96%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $2,806 −$644 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$222,389
crypto 1% −$3,241
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 88¢ $232 34h
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) SELL Spurs 15¢ $231 34h
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $854 34h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $240,083 36h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $4 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $549 46h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $274,086 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $1 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $10 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $48 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $190 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $20 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $19 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $190 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $190 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $15 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $48 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $11 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $2,375 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $11 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $3 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $24 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $190 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $48 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $190 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $190 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $500 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $650 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 95¢ $1,000 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -4.1% -13.2% 40% 40% +10.8%
≤30d 9 -8.7% -17.4% 33% 33% +25.1%
≤90d 9 -8.7% -17.4% 33% 33% +25.1%
all 9 -8.7% -17.4% 33% 33% +25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 33% +25.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 33% +13.1%
15% -32.5% 33% +2.2%
20% -39.1% 33% -7.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 124 history records