Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:23:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xad7b…779c
crypto · 307 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$264 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$526 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$526
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses264 / 43
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$384
Open positions0
Markets (closed)307 / 307
History coverage19d
Avg bet$282
Trades / day25.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 307 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$144
7 days−$659
14 days−$332
30 days−$526
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $350 +$149 +43%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $334 +$32 +10%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $189 +$110 +58%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $77 +$152 +197%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $75 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $65 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$14 +28%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $72 −$22 -31%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $402 −$330 -82%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $431 +$154 +36%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $201 +$49 +24%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $181 +$19 +11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $99 +$81 +82%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $72 +$28 +39%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $66 +$9 +14%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $55 +$11 +19%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $150 −$64 -43%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $44 +$6 +13%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $223 −$109 -49%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $163 −$133 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $331 +$19 +6%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $298 +$32 +11%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $250 +$30 +12%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $237 +$33 +14%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $148 +$92 +62%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $125 +$25 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $82 +$43 +52%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $359 −$283 -79%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $350 +$10 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $272 +$84 +31%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $241 +$29 +12%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,212 −$983 -81%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,001 +$198 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $990 +$29 +3%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $889 +$108 +12%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $802 +$69 +9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $697 +$103 +15%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $652 +$54 +8%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $576 +$83 +14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $480 +$99 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $451 +$8 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $401 +$38 +10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $401 +$38 +10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $273 +$125 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $302 −$245 -81%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $204 +$30 +15%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $451 +$20 +4%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$68 +34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $101 +$42 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% −$306
crypto 34% −$313
other 0% +$86
weather 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 100¢ $499 2m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 70¢ $350 21m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $366 33m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $334 38m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $300 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 62¢ $189 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $230 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $77 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $80 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 93¢ $75 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $65 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $51 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 42¢ $50 14h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 60¢ $64 14h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 60¢ $8 14h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 16¢ $72 15h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 89¢ $402 16h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 100¢ $400 16h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 44¢ $179 17h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 67¢ $186 17h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 90¢ $8 17h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 90¢ $245 17h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Legacy 100¢ $250 18h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 80¢ $201 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $200 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 90¢ $181 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $180 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 54¢ $99 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $100 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 71¢ $72 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +3.6% -6.3% 78% 51% -11.8%
≤30d 307 +4.0% -5.9% 86% 32% -10.1%
≤90d 307 +4.0% -5.9% 86% 32% -10.1%
all 307 +4.0% -5.9% 86% 32% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 32% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 15% -18.7%
15% -23.1% 10% -26.5%
20% -30.6% 6% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 686 history records