trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -19.3% | -27.0% | 50% | 50% | -43.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -10.2% | -18.8% | 60% | 60% | -20.7% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -51.5% | -56.2% | 31% | 25% | -21.3% |
| all | 23 | -34.9% | -41.1% | 39% | 30% | -20.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.1% | 30% | -20.9% |
| 10% | -46.8% | 26% | -28.5% |
| 15% | -51.9% | 22% | -35.4% |
| 20% | -56.6% | 17% | -41.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 56¢ | 58¢ | $8,624 | $8,950 | +$326 (+4%) |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 | Over | 64¢ | 100¢ | $244 | $380 | +$136 (+56%) |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Over | 39¢ | 42¢ | $55 | $59 | +$4 (+7%) |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Over | 22¢ | 6¢ | $108 | $32 | −$76 (-70%) |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $38 | $0 | −$37 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5 | Jun 27 | $510 | −$510 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 27 | $192 | +$96 | +50% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $72 | −$58 | -81% |
| Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 | Jun 27 | $195 | +$105 | +54% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | Jun 01 | $647 | +$169 | +26% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | May 23 | $900 | −$50 | -6% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | May 23 | $576 | +$58 | +10% |
| Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | May 12 | $73 | −$73 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026? | May 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? | May 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | May 11 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026? | May 11 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 10 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026? | May 09 | $81 | −$81 | -100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | May 07 | $54 | +$12 | +22% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | Dec 15 | $50 | +$4 | +9% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET | Oct 30 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET | Oct 30 | $5 | +$5 | +104% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11AM ET | Oct 30 | $5 | +$5 | +104% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET | Oct 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET | Oct 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11AM ET | Oct 16 | $5 | +$5 | +104% |