trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +1.6% | -8.0% | 50% | 0% | -8.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 44% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 44% | 0% | -8.7% |
| all | 20 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 45% | 0% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.6% | 0% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -25.5% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -32.7% | 0% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | $45 | $45 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $15 | +$1 | +4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 19 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $45 | +$3 | +6% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 24 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Apr 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canad | Apr 14 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | Apr 13 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30? | Apr 13 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 12 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | Mar 22 | $9 | $0 | +0% |