Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xad20…3b73
crypto · 1237 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,107 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,257 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$1,257
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses375 / 861
Est. fees paid−$46
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1236 / 1237
History coverage64d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day43.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$53
14 days−$114
30 days−$331
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Pakistan 12¢ 8¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Ireland 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India India 19¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$23 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +6%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $17 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$7 +614%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +13%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $6 −$5 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$21 +330%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$885
sports 22% −$342
weather 1% −$22
other 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $11 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $4 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY Pakistan 12¢ $8 2h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Bangladesh 33¢ $8 2h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 19¢ $9 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan SELL Pakistan 8¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 6h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 56¢ $14 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $8 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-36.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -22.1% -29.5% 33% 32% -22.4%
≤30d 326 -23.5% -30.8% 34% 32% -34.5%
≤90d 1236 -29.9% -36.6% 30% 28% -31.4%
all 1236 -29.9% -36.6% 30% 28% -31.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.6% 28% -31.4%
10% ← realistic here -42.6% 24% -37.9%
15% -48.2% 21% -43.9%
20% -53.3% 17% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.71 · official $5.71 (match) · 3500 history records