Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:13:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xad11…4751
crypto · 91 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses45 / 43
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)88 / 91
History coverage23d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day9.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 2 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Harry Kane have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League? No 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$1 -44%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$4 +101%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$6 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $3 $0 -4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +41%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +261%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -14%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 31 $6 $0 -4%
Will Harry Kane have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champi May 27 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 27 $8 −$3 -36%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 202 May 27 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 26 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 26 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 26 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 26 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 26 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET May 26 $1 +$4 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 26 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 26 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +44%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $1 +$1 +83%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $3 $0 -12%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 24 $3 −$1 -26%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 24 $2 −$1 -34%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 24 $1 $0 +8%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 24 $2 $0 -1%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 24 $2 −$1 -47%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25? May 24 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 24 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 24 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 24 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 24 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 24 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 24 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 24 $6 −$1 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$12
other 8% $0
sports 5% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 14¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 24¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 24¢ $5 2h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 18h
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 80¢ $6 18h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 19h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 28h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 42h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 47h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 47h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $2 47h
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 58¢ $3 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 57¢ $3 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 78¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +9.7% -0.7% 40% 33% -9.4%
≤30d 88 -1.8% -11.1% 51% 34% -15.0%
≤90d 88 -1.8% -11.1% 51% 34% -15.0%
all 88 -1.8% -11.1% 51% 34% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 34% -15.0%
10% -19.6% 22% -23.1%
15% -27.4% 17% -30.6%
20% -34.5% 8% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.91 · official $10.91 · 257 history records