trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 50% | 50% | +23.0% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -17.7% | -25.6% | 43% | 33% | -21.9% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 41% | 32% | -21.9% |
| all | 22 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 41% | 32% | -21.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.0% | 32% | -21.9% |
| 10% | -32.2% | 32% | -29.3% |
| 15% | -38.8% | 32% | -36.2% |
| 20% | -44.8% | 14% | -42.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 55¢ | 48¢ | $90 | $78 | −$12 (-14%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 19¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $72 | +$67 | +93% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $300 | +$125 | +42% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $172 | +$82 | +48% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $160 | −$5 | -3% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan? | Jun 21 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London | Jun 20 | $10 | −$2 | -19% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $147 | −$145 | -99% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $530 | −$521 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $364 | +$178 | +49% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $15 | +$25 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$13 | +43% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | May 27 | $18 | −$11 | -62% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | May 27 | $7 | −$2 | -27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | May 27 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | May 27 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 27 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | May 27 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | May 27 | $2 | +$1 | +67% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | -4% |