Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AD
0xad0b…99fe
sports · 215 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$238 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$178 · open −$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$136
Realized−$178
Unrealized−$36
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses113 / 95
Est. fees paid−$70
Open positions7
Markets (closed)208 / 215
History coverage63d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 7 History 208 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$67
14 days−$293
30 days−$195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 17¢ 38¢ $25 $57 +$32 (+126%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $25 $22 −$3 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 55¢ 56¢ $21 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 69¢ 33¢ $39 $19 −$20 (-52%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $12 $12 −$1 (-6%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 18¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 19¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffs BESTIA 32¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Priscilla Hon 64¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5) 9z 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 55¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians Washington Nationals 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Team Yandex 67¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28? No 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 69¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Yandex 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $15 +$6 +37%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$5 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $23 +$9 +38%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $13 +$10 +76%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$14 +93%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $25 +$16 +65%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $13 +$7 +58%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $35 +$13 +36%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 +$8 +76%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $10 +$8 +76%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $10 +$8 +83%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $27 +$3 +10%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $15 +$11 +70%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $15 +$8 +55%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $20 −$18 -87%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $76 +$3 +4%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $15 +$6 +41%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $15 −$13 -83%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $8 −$7 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $8 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $15 +$5 +36%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 +$6 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$5 -45%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $15 +$8 +54%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $35 −$4 -10%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 07 $13 −$12 -99%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $10 −$1 -11%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $13 +$7 +56%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $23 −$2 -7%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $13 −$12 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $13 −$1 -12%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $10 +$5 +48%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 +$4 +43%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $5 +$10 +197%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Jun 06 $13 +$9 +73%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $5 +$4 +70%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 06 $14 +$8 +57%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $8 +$8 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$251
other 2% +$33
world 2% +$11
politics 0% −$3
crypto 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 55¢ $21 3m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 99¢ $21 4m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 69¢ $39 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 18¢ $46 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 20¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 38¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Legacy 96¢ $21 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 72¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 65¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 70¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 35¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $25 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 72¢ $23 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $22 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 55¢ $15 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 53¢ $15 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 47¢ $8 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 56¢ $13 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 51¢ $15 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 99¢ $20 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 13¢ $5 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $48 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 62¢ $13 46h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 73¢ $35 47h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 55¢ $25 2d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 60¢ $25 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 56¢ $10 3d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 54¢ $10 4d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 56¢ $10 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 99¢ $23 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -14.5% -22.6% 51% 44% -18.0%
≤30d 199 -7.1% -15.9% 53% 51% -13.3%
≤90d 208 -5.9% -14.9% 54% 52% -12.9%
all 208 -5.9% -14.9% 54% 52% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 52% -12.9%
10% -23.0% 49% -21.2%
15% -30.5% 41% -28.8%
20% -37.3% 29% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $135.84 · official $135.84 (match) · 458 history records