Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:08:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0xad05…3a3d
crypto · 51 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses23 / 27
Open positions1
Markets (closed)50 / 51
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day349.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$34
14 days−$34
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 26¢ 34¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+35%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$7 +43%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -30%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -26%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$10 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $145 −$52 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $93 +$31 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $73 +$57 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $83 −$83 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $93 +$9 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $7 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $4 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $7 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +0.8% -8.8% 46% 34% -13.2%
≤30d 50 +0.8% -8.8% 46% 34% -13.2%
≤90d 50 +0.8% -8.8% 46% 34% -13.2%
all 50 +0.8% -8.8% 46% 34% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover349.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 34% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 28% -21.5%
15% -25.5% 22% -29.1%
20% -32.8% 8% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.85 · official $5.74 · 358 history records