Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:32:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xace6…a13d
sports · 41 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$31 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized+$34
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses22 / 13
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions6
Markets (closed)35 / 41
History coverage6d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$34
14 days+$34
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 63¢ 62¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 43¢ 74¢ $13 $23 +$10 (+73%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Vitality 50¢ 50¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Legacy 32¢ 34¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 23¢ 10¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-59%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 31¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 54¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $36 +$19 +52%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $32 +$4 +12%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10 +$20 +209%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $17 +$12 +72%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $12 +$8 +62%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 −$2 -24%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $14 −$14 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $11 +$17 +156%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$13 +64%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $18 +$10 +55%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$10 +95%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$10 +103%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $19 +$24 +126%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $25 +$27 +107%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $17 −$17 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $29 −$29 -100%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $15 +$15 +103%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$10 +48%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $33 +$18 +57%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $18 +$6 +33%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $28 +$12 +42%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $14 +$11 +76%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 08 $15 +$12 +82%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $51 −$46 -90%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 +$21 +139%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $58 −$58 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$5 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15 +$28 +187%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $35 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 20¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $135 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 57¢ $19 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 31¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $10 3h
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) BUY Legacy 32¢ $10 3h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 50¢ $15 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 23¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $25 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 63¢ $25 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 43¢ $13 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 53¢ $25 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $30 20h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 70¢ $11 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 91¢ $14 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 92¢ $14 21h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $19 21h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $29 25h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $20 26h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 38¢ $6 27h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 61¢ $8 27h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 61¢ $3 28h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 61¢ $2 28h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 32¢ $5 28h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 58¢ $17 28h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $7 29h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $3 29h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $4 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +25.2% +13.3% 63% 63% -5.3%
≤30d 35 +25.2% +13.3% 63% 63% -5.3%
≤90d 35 +25.2% +13.3% 63% 63% -5.3%
all 35 +25.2% +13.3% 63% 63% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +13.3% 63% -5.3%
10% +2.4% 60% -14.3%
15% -7.5% 57% -22.6%
20% -16.5% 49% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.34 · official $75.35 (match) · 115 history records