trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -19.6% | -27.2% | 18% | 0% | -11.2% |
| all | 15 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 33% | 13% | +48.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.2% | 13% | +48.4% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 13% | +34.2% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 13% | +21.2% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 13% | +9.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27? | May 29 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | May 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 15 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 12 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 09 | $1 | $0 | -30% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 05 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | -13% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -40% |
| Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 23 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 19 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Mar 16 | $1 | $0 | -26% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14? | Mar 15 | $1 | +$1 | +113% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Mar 13 | $23 | +$1 | +6% |
| Rangers vs. Flyers | Mar 11 | $154 | +$196 | +127% |