Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xacd3…f3ef
crypto · 953 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$34 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses435 / 518
Open positions0
Markets (closed)953 / 953
History coverage31d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day82.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 953 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days+$65
14 days+$9
30 days+$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$9 +217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$16 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$5 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$8 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 -7.5% -16.3% 42% 40% +1.1%
≤30d 950 -4.0% -13.1% 46% 43% -8.8%
≤90d 953 -4.0% -13.1% 46% 43% -8.8%
all 953 -4.0% -13.1% 46% 43% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 43% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 41% -17.6%
15% -29.0% 36% -25.5%
20% -36.0% 29% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records