trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +11.1% | +0.6% | 71% | 57% | +15.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 56% | 44% | -14.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 56% | 44% | -14.1% |
| all | 32 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 47% | 38% | -12.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -2.5% | 38% | -12.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -11.8% | 34% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -20.3% | 25% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -28.1% | 16% | -35.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $1,362 | −$715 | -52% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $5,180 | +$165 | +3% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $3,506 | +$1,675 | +48% |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Will New Zealand win on | Jun 22 | $508 | +$610 | +120% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | Jun 21 | $1,010 | +$505 | +50% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner | Jun 21 | $546 | −$538 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1,868 | +$1,064 | +57% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 14 | $4,040 | −$4,016 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $929 | −$358 | -38% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Dec 30 | $5,090 | −$1,162 | -23% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Dec 27 | $15,427 | −$4,165 | -27% |
| Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Nov 29 | $6,530 | +$468 | +7% |
| UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) | Nov 16 | $4,402 | +$1,546 | +35% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $5,310 | +$2,276 | +43% |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 09 | $9,984 | −$4,679 | -47% |
| 76ers vs. Nets | Nov 03 | $1,000 | +$550 | +55% |
| Spurs vs. Suns | Nov 03 | $1,000 | −$686 | -69% |
| Pelicans vs. Thunder | Nov 02 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | Nov 02 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | Nov 02 | $1,000 | +$587 | +59% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $5,000 | +$1,757 | +35% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Nov 01 | $9,991 | −$4,026 | -40% |
| Rangers vs. Oilers | Oct 31 | $2,662 | −$2,662 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Spurs | Oct 31 | $2,288 | +$374 | +16% |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 30 | $36,725 | +$8,866 | +24% |
| US government shutdown by October 1? | Sep 30 | $10,282 | −$284 | -3% |
| Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour? | Jul 12 | $3,336 | −$3,336 | -100% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? | Apr 29 | $6,068 | +$354 | +6% |
| Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May? | Mar 13 | $2,807 | −$824 | -29% |
| Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November? | Nov 28 | $497 | +$4,520 | +910% |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presiden | Nov 06 | $2,880 | −$2,150 | -75% |
| Biden drops out of presidential race? | Jul 18 | $1,006 | −$702 | -70% |