trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -44.1% | -49.4% | 16% | 16% | -45.5% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -42.4% | -47.9% | 18% | 18% | -38.9% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -38.7% | -44.5% | 22% | 22% | -13.7% |
| all | 23 | -38.7% | -44.5% | 22% | 22% | -13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.5% | 22% | -13.7% |
| 10% | -49.9% | 22% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -54.7% | 22% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -59.1% | 17% | -36.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 68¢ | 66¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $29 | +$75 | +262% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $32 | −$31 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $19 | +$86 | +442% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $32 | −$31 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $22 | −$21 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $28 | −$27 | -98% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $19 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $24 | −$23 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 15 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$58 | +57% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $102 | +$107 | +105% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $499 | +$214 | +43% |