Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:37:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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AC 0xacba…e6bc crypto 989 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (98 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$473 (-0%) realized −$473 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%980W / 9L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$408per market
Trades / day98.4pace
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$96
7 days−$671
14 days+$330
30 days−$795
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% +$948
other 8% −$1,743
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (98 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 533 +0.5% -9.0% 99% 1% -10.3%
≤30d 989 +3.2% -6.6% 99% 1% -9.9%
≤90d 989 +3.2% -6.6% 99% 1% -9.9%
all 989 +3.2% -6.6% 99% 1% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover98.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 1% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 1% -18.5%
15% -23.7% 1% -26.4%
20% -31.2% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +6% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$904 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$473
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses980 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)989 / 989
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$408
Trades / day98.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 989 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $145 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $149 +$3 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $57 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $120 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $70 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $145 +$7 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $26 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $49 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $17 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $145 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $149 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $147 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $148 +$4 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $145 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $150 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $149 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $57 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $120 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $70 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $118 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $145 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $150 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records