Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:28:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AC 0xacb7…a465 crypto 711 markets active 3h ago coverage 32d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$365 (-4%) realized −$365 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate52%367W / 344L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day26.6pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$64
7 days−$18
14 days−$907
30 days−$545
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% −$566
other 10% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 188 -15.9% -23.9% 48% 45% -10.3%
≤30d 703 -6.9% -15.8% 51% 50% -15.3%
≤90d 711 -6.5% -15.4% 52% 50% -15.2%
all 711 -6.5% -15.4% 52% 50% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 50% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 48% -23.3%
15% -30.9% 46% -30.7%
20% -37.7% 44% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$12 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$365
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses367 / 344
Open positions0
Markets (closed)711 / 711
History coverage32d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 711 Trades
no open positions (319 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$4 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $72 +$38 +53%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $31 −$30 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$10 -49%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +30%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$7 +68%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$5 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $31 +$2 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $82 +$55 +67%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $38 −$37 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$16 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$13 +64%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$10 -48%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$4 +39%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $216 +$154 +71%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $72 −$70 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$10 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +20%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$5 +48%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$2 -16%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 -1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$31 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$24 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$31 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $0 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $21 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $110 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $72 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $31 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $9 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $14 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $17 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $15 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $33 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $31 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $72 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $28 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $21 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $34 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1211 history records