Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:46:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xacb0…e3ec
crypto · 178 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$53 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses83 / 95
Open positions0
Markets (closed)178 / 178
History coverage174d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 178 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$14 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Dec 25 $15 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Dec 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Dec 25 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Dec 25 $21 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Dec 25 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Dec 25 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Dec 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Dec 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Dec 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Dec 24 $18 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Dec 24 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Dec 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Dec 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Dec 24 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Dec 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Dec 24 $18 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Dec 24 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Dec 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Dec 24 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Dec 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Dec 24 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Dec 24 $9 +$7 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Dec 24 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Dec 24 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Dec 24 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Dec 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Dec 24 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Dec 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Dec 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Dec 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Dec 24 $5 −$4 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Dec 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Dec 24 $6 +$7 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Dec 24 $20 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Dec 24 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Dec 24 $25 −$9 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Dec 24 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Dec 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 170d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $6 170d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 170d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 170d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 170d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 170d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 170d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -12.3% -20.6% 58% 50% -0.1%
≤30d 12 -12.3% -20.6% 58% 50% -0.1%
≤90d 12 -12.3% -20.6% 58% 50% -0.1%
all 178 -1.2% -10.6% 47% 41% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 41% -10.9%
10% -19.2% 37% -19.4%
15% -27.0% 27% -27.2%
20% -34.1% 19% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 651 history records