Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:02:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AC 0xac90…89a9 crypto 722 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (2360 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$5,922 (+38%) realized +$5,922 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate34%389W / 740L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day2359.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$167now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$283
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2360 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 715 +17.6% +6.4% 29% 25% -47.6%
≤30d 1129 +13.7% +2.9% 34% 29% -28.9%
≤90d 1129 +13.7% +2.9% 34% 29% -28.9%
all 1129 +13.7% +2.9% 34% 29% -28.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2359.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.9% 29% -28.9%
10% ← realistic here -7.0% 25% -35.7%
15% -15.9% 21% -41.9%
20% -24.2% 16% -47.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -23% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +14% · $-wt -23% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late +20% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$11 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.38 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$167
Realized+$5,922
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses389 / 740
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1129 / 722
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$22
Trades / day2359.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1129 Trades
no open positions (492 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$8 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$8 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$8 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$22 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$4 +748%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -102%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$9 +1238%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$13 +2146%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$4 -1507%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -118%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +156%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$42 +6540%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -414%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -412%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +178%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +692%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -275%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$4 +739%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$8 +3474%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$11 -1883%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$6 -989%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$5 +870%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$4 +611%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -139%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$3 +507%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +424%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +205%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -407%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $13 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $10 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $4 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $4 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $13 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $4 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $25 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $8 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $166.60 · official $105.24 · 3500 history records