trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -46.1% | -51.2% | 27% | 23% | -4.8% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -46.1% | -51.2% | 27% | 23% | -4.8% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -46.1% | -51.2% | 27% | 23% | -4.8% |
| all | 26 | -46.1% | -51.2% | 27% | 23% | -4.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -51.2% | 23% | -4.8% |
| 10% | -55.9% | 12% | -13.9% |
| 15% | -60.1% | 8% | -22.3% |
| 20% | -64.0% | 4% | -29.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18? | Yes | 34¢ | 38¢ | $105 | $119 | +$14 (+13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $62 | +$24 | +40% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $36 | +$26 | +70% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 17 | $28 | −$16 | -56% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | -24% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in | Jun 17 | $19 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary electio | Jun 17 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$9 | -85% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -67% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -74% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary ele | Jun 17 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Jun 13 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$2 | -47% |