trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -34.3% | -40.5% | 31% | 31% | -17.1% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -27.3% | -34.2% | 35% | 35% | -20.7% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -27.3% | -34.2% | 35% | 35% | -20.7% |
| all | 20 | -27.3% | -34.2% | 35% | 35% | -20.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.2% | 35% | -20.7% |
| 10% | -40.5% | 30% | -28.3% |
| 15% | -46.3% | 30% | -35.2% |
| 20% | -51.5% | 15% | -41.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 1.5 | Over | 59¢ | 58¢ | $31 | $31 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15? | Yes | 73¢ | 68¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 7¢ | $20 | $10 | −$10 (-52%) |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 30¢ | 1¢ | $295 | $9 | −$285 (-97%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $6 | −$4 (-38%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $31 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$23 | +76% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $14 | +$6 | +39% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$10 | +188% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$2 | -31% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$12 | +40% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$4 | -74% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $91 | +$17 | +19% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$33 | +162% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |