Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac83…4b94
sports · 111 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$20 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$22
Realized+$21
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses51 / 42
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions18
Markets (closed)93 / 111
Avg bet$2
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 18 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 48¢ 88¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+82%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 83¢ 57¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-31%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 62¢ 64¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 43¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? Yes 66¢ 91¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 74¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 14? Yes 89¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? No 90¢ 95¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 90¢ 95¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 56¢ 61¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? No 23¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-84%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? No 19¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-92%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 13? No 26¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? No 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Connecticut Sun 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Emma Navarro 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Lois Boisson 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $2 −$1 -71%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $2 +$6 +291%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +158%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $2 −$1 -66%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $2 −$2 -86%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $2 +$5 +259%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -76%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +76%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -79%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -77%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $2 +$8 +388%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $2 +$4 +180%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +32%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 16? Jun 11 $5 −$3 -67%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $2 −$1 -72%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $2 +$1 +32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 10 $1 $0 -11%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $2 +$1 +42%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $2 $0 +21%
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $2 +$1 +36%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? Jun 10 $1 $0 -12%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $2 +$1 +34%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $2 +$1 +60%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $2 +$3 +165%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +83%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 -9%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 09 $1 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$25
crypto 22% −$7
other 4% +$1
politics 1% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter SELL Jaqueline Cristian 10¢ $1 59m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 85¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 43¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 69¢ $2 2h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 62¢ $2 2h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 78¢ $2 9h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Dallas Wings 71¢ $2 10h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Seattle Mariners 8¢ $0 11h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 SELL Under 22¢ $1 11h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 62¢ $2 11h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 25¢ $2 11h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 60¢ $2 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 99¢ $7 12h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 38¢ $2 12h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 65¢ $2 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 SELL Over 10¢ $0 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 5¢ $0 13h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 27¢ $2 13h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 1¢ $2 14h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 SELL Under 60¢ $2 14h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 14h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 40¢ $2 14h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 23¢ $2 14h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 73¢ $2 15h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 56¢ $2 15h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 SELL Over 20¢ $0 15h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Jaqueline Cristian 33¢ $2 16h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 53¢ $2 16h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 69¢ $2 20h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 81¢ $2 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 +4.4% -5.5% 54% 43% +1.5%
≤30d 93 +4.5% -5.5% 55% 43% +1.4%
≤90d 93 +4.5% -5.5% 55% 43% +1.4%
all 93 +4.5% -5.5% 55% 43% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.5% 43% +1.4%
10% -14.5% 35% -8.3%
15% -22.8% 30% -17.2%
20% -30.4% 18% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.40 · official $21.56 (match) · 219 history records