Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:21:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac78…a7b7
other · 14 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$88 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$114 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$556
Realized+$114
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions13
Markets (closed)1 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day16.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 13 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$114
7 days+$114
14 days+$114
30 days+$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $131 $131 +$0 (+0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $103 $97 −$6 (-6%)
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $55 $55 −$1 (-1%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 45¢ 39¢ $50 $43 −$7 (-13%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? Yes 38¢ 33¢ $39 $34 −$5 (-12%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 14¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+17%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-9%)
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-21%)
Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $102 +$114 +112%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% −$17
sports 29% +$112
world 7% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $8 54m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $16 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $16 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $8 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $8 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $8 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $56 6h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $17 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $9 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $54 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $16 6h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $41 8h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $41 8h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $71 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $215 14h
Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $7 24h
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 7¢ $8 24h
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $8 24h
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 12¢ $8 24h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $102 24h
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 38¢ $40 33h
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cu BUY Yes 45¢ $51 33h
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $103 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+91.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +111.7% +91.6% 100% 100% +91.6%
≤30d 1 +111.7% +91.6% 100% 100% +91.6%
≤90d 1 +111.7% +91.6% 100% 100% +91.6%
all 1 +111.7% +91.6% 100% 100% +91.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +91.6% 100% +91.6%
10% +73.2% 100% +73.2%
15% +56.5% 100% +56.5%
20% +41.1% 100% +41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $556.07 · official $556.07 (match) · 23 history records