trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 27% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 21 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 24% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 02 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 26 | $263 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 18 | $87 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 15 | $87 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | May 09 | $87 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 08 | $87 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 19 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 31 | $177 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Mar 19 | $177 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 15 | $177 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 14 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 10 | $178 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 27 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 06 | $178 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in January 2026? | Jan 29 | $171 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Jan 04 | $170 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $173 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 02 | $173 | $0 | -0% |