Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T19:06:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AC 0xac71…b3ea crypto 282 markets active 2h ago coverage 21d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$105 (-3%) realized −$105 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate50%136W / 134L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day19.0pace
Fees−$34est.
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$98
14 days+$45
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 51% −$83
other 32% +$52
crypto 17% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -18.9% -26.6% 33% 31% -17.4%
≤30d 270 +1.6% -8.1% 50% 47% -9.8%
≤90d 270 +1.6% -8.1% 50% 47% -9.8%
all 270 +1.6% -8.1% 50% 47% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.1% 47% -9.8%
10% -16.9% 41% -18.5%
15% -24.9% 36% -26.3%
20% -32.3% 31% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late +12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$8 · ×0.97 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$105
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses136 / 134
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)270 / 282
History coverage21d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 270 Trades
no open positions (105 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Mai Jun 27 $101 −$2 -2%
Will Ikram Aliskerov win by KO or TKO? Jun 27 $3 −$2 -57%
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Ma Jun 27 $61 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -97%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 25 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 25 $7 −$4 -64%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 25 $13 −$2 -13%
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 25 $41 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -96%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Caroline Werner vs Alina Charaeva Jun 24 $5 +$6 +124%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 24 $4 +$1 +16%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 24 $3 −$3 -90%
Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phas Jun 24 $52 −$2 -3%
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? Jun 24 $25 $0 -0%
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 24 $40 −$1 -2%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 24 $124 −$4 -3%
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 24 $60 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -96%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs August Holmgren Jun 24 $54 −$53 -98%
Bad Homburg Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tauson Jun 24 $42 −$2 -5%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $10 +$2 +21%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) AND Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 23 $28 +$20 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Taylah Preston Jun 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 23 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$4 -97%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Amelia Rajecki vs Suzan Lamens Jun 23 $21 −$20 -98%
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: France (-4.5) Jun 23 $15 +$10 +65%
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begu Jun 22 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -95%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Liam Broady vs August Holmgren Jun 22 $20 +$15 +76%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Federico Coria vs Oliver Bonding Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -95%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Paul Jubb Jun 22 $17 −$17 -99%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Jun 22 $8 +$28 +344%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 21 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 21 $3 +$6 +198%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $33 −$33 -99%
World Cup: Scoreless Team? Jun 21 $216 +$45 +21%
Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 21 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 21 $4 +$2 +62%
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 21 $8 +$5 +60%
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Abedall Jun 20 $9 −$9 -98%
Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $8 +$29 +358%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: England (-1.5) AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? BUY 57¢ $66 1h
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Mai SELL Shara Magomedov 77¢ $26 1h
Will Ikram Aliskerov win by KO or TKO? SELL Yes 22¢ $1 2h
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Ma SELL Ikram Aliskerov 92¢ $29 2h
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Ma SELL Ikram Aliskerov 70¢ $37 2h
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Mai SELL Shara Magomedov 75¢ $72 2h
Will Ikram Aliskerov win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 49¢ $3 3h
England leading at halftime? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? BUY 66¢ $55 3h
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Mai BUY Shara Magomedov 76¢ $101 3h
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Ma BUY Ikram Aliskerov 71¢ $61 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2d
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Tyra Caterina Grant BUY Harmony Tan 50¢ $51 2d
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 26¢ $3 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $11 2d
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL Yes 56¢ $39 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06- BUY 39¢ $10 2d
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Caroline Werner vs Alina Charaeva BUY Alina Charaeva 44¢ $5 3d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $5 3d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on BUY 6¢ $5 3d
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Switzerland vs. Canada: O BUY 26¢ $20 3d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phas SELL No 83¢ $51 3d
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? SELL No 78¢ $25 3d
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 93¢ $39 3d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 81¢ $120 3d
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 85¢ $60 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 3d
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 49¢ $36 3d
Bad Homburg Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tauson SELL Clara Tauson 44¢ $39 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $119.79 · 501 history records