Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:32:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AC 0xac6d…919a crypto 2754 markets active 0h ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$18,103 (+110%) realized +$18,103 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate27%737W / 1949L
Drawdown58%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day90.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 31d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,316
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 564 -21.8% -29.3% 21% 21% -27.7%
≤30d 2509 -0.7% -10.1% 28% 27% -0.3%
≤90d 2686 -0.1% -9.6% 27% 27% -0.8%
all 2686 -0.1% -9.6% 27% 27% -0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover90.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 27% -0.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 27% -10.3%
15% -26.2% 26% -18.9%
20% -33.4% 26% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +11% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +11% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$5 · ×3.05 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.15 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$18,103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses737 / 1949
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2686 / 2754
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day90.0
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2686 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records