trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -4.7% | -13.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 15 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 21 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 19 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 27 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 12 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 19 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Jan 21 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Dec 15 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 21 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 25 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 23 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 24 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Aug 24 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 14 | $295 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025? | May 19 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in May? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Aston Villa wins the Premier League? | Apr 20 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 22 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 04 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jan 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jan 02 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 17 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Crystal Palace wins the Premier League? | Dec 15 | $0 | $0 | -20% |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Nov 25 | $66 | $0 | -0% |