Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:30:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac4f…d862
other · 811 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$218 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$220 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized+$220
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses511 / 614
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1125 / 811
History coverage14d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day203.1
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 1125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,360
7 days−$706
14 days+$219
30 days+$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $27 $35 +$8 (+29%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 71¢ 90¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+26%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+96%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+150%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 42¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$2 (-75%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +59%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +150%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +27%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +117%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +82%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +27%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +92%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +67%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $128 −$128 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$1,710
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $7 0m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 2m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 9m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 10m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 23m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 28m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 28m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 44m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 45m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 46m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 48m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 731 -37.4% -43.3% 33% 32% -19.3%
≤30d 1125 -12.5% -20.8% 45% 43% -8.0%
≤90d 1125 -12.5% -20.8% 45% 43% -8.0%
all 1125 -12.5% -20.8% 45% 43% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover203.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.8% 43% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.4% 38% -16.8%
15% -35.3% 30% -24.8%
20% -41.6% 23% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.71 · official $54.18 · 3500 history records