Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:02:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac47…d234
sports · 133 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
+$49,585 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$49,082 · open +$284
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$25,383
Realized+$49,082
Unrealized+$284
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses52 / 73
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$11,193
Open positions8
Markets (closed)125 / 133
Avg bet$7,461
Trades / day48.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 8 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52,677
7 days+$40,419
14 days+$72,570
30 days+$83,429
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $3,550 $4,366 +$816 (+23%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3,600 $4,100 +$500 (+14%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3,500 $3,412 −$88 (-3%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3,500 $3,354 −$146 (-4%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $3,500 $3,338 −$162 (-5%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $3,450 $3,214 −$236 (-7%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3,499 $2,998 −$502 (-14%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No 7¢ 8¢ $500 $603 +$103 (+21%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $36,281 +$52,719 +145%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $42 −$42 -98%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 07 $1,932 −$1,932 -100%
Spread: Poland (-1.5) Jun 07 $2,390 −$2,390 -100%
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $7,913 −$7,913 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 06 $208 −$208 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $102 +$184 +180%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $23,019 −$23,019 -100%
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $3,431 +$4,069 +119%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $4,168 −$4,168 -100%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $46,405 +$20,689 +45%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 31 $3,484 −$3,484 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) May 31 $2,265 −$2,265 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 31 $15,616 −$15,616 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $22,204 +$19,890 +90%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $3,400 +$1,100 +32%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $29,114 +$6,697 +23%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) May 30 $10,725 +$12,697 +118%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $2,197 +$12,787 +582%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 30 $2,222 +$2,773 +125%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 May 20 $29,933 +$31,748 +106%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 May 15 $37,300 +$32,991 +88%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 15 $919 −$919 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $3,135 −$3,135 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 15 $2,531 −$2,531 -100%
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) May 15 $4,975 −$4,975 -100%
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5) May 15 $5,224 −$5,224 -100%
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5 May 15 $5,981 −$5,981 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 15 $5,231 −$5,231 -100%
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5 May 15 $6,628 −$6,628 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 15 $13,832 −$13,832 -100%
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 May 15 $12,245 −$12,245 -100%
Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5) May 15 $10,388 −$10,388 -100%
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 May 15 $17,807 −$17,807 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner May 15 $6,072 +$3,928 +65%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A May 14 $2,980 +$1,745 +59%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 May 13 $3,630 +$3,862 +106%
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5 May 13 $26,977 +$23,858 +88%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) May 13 $2,971 +$1,622 +55%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 12 $2,656 −$2,656 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5) May 12 $4,758 −$4,758 -100%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 May 12 $12,722 −$12,722 -100%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) May 12 $14,707 −$14,707 -100%
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $8,395 +$3,231 +38%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $28,138 +$20,247 +72%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 07 $2,962 +$3,114 +105%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifie May 06 $829 −$829 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? May 06 $8,147 −$8,147 -100%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 May 06 $35,748 −$35,748 -100%
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? May 05 $780 +$1,220 +156%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$53,741
other 25% +$106,537
crypto 1% +$608
world 0% −$4,038
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $3,605 4h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $1,669 14h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY No 7¢ $514 14h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $29 17h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $13 17h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $10,180 31h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $8,144 31h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $16,288 31h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $3,603 5d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $3,604 5d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 4¢ $1,484 5d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 6¢ $1,489 5d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 3¢ $1,487 5d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $1,481 5d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $5,146 5d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $5,142 5d
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) BUY HANJIN BRION 37¢ $621 6d
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) BUY HANJIN BRION 36¢ $1,311 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 35¢ $102 7d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $6 8d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $3 8d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $438 8d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $3 8d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $69 8d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $1 8d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $1 8d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $1 8d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $1 8d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $1 8d
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $10 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -24.9% -32.1% 29% 29% +65.3%
≤30d 39 -4.5% -13.6% 44% 44% +8.6%
≤90d 125 -13.4% -21.6% 42% 38% -4.9%
all 125 -13.4% -21.6% 42% 38% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.6% 38% -4.9%
10% -29.1% 38% -14.0%
15% ← realistic here -36.0% 34% -22.3%
20% -42.2% 29% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25,383.32 · official $25,383.32 (match) · 3500 history records