Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:49:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac40…283b
crypto · 1030 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$59 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$163 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$163
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses790 / 241
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1031 / 1030
History coverage43d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day58.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1031 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$60
14 days+$76
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$13 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$5 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $82 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$8 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $133 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $56 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$153
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -2.2% -11.5% 88% 16% -5.8%
≤30d 837 -3.4% -12.6% 76% 27% -9.9%
≤90d 1031 -3.6% -12.8% 77% 25% -10.1%
all 1031 -3.6% -12.8% 77% 25% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 25% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 14% -18.7%
15% -28.8% 7% -26.6%
20% -35.7% 3% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records