Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:42:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AC 0xac28…f2d4 crypto 671 markets active 3d ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (232 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,299 (-19%) realized −$1,299 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate45%299W / 372L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day231.9pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$146
14 days−$427
30 days−$477
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$355
weather 11% −$49
other 1% −$51
sports 0% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (232 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 220 -18.5% -26.2% 47% 34% -18.3%
≤30d 671 -11.1% -19.6% 45% 30% -15.7%
≤90d 671 -11.1% -19.6% 45% 30% -15.7%
all 671 -11.1% -19.6% 45% 30% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover231.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 30% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 19% -23.8%
15% -34.3% 15% -31.1%
20% -40.8% 11% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -19% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,299
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses299 / 372
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)671 / 671
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day231.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 671 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -13%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$4 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 2d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 3d
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $31 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records