trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -22.5% | -29.9% | 50% | 50% | +3.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -20.9% | -28.5% | 33% | 33% | -5.2% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -40.7% | -46.3% | 25% | 25% | -25.0% |
| all | 13 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 69% | 15% | +5.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 15% | +5.9% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 8% | -4.2% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 8% | -13.5% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 8% | -22.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 81¢ | $911 | $3,498 | +$2,587 (+284%) |
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $292 | $289 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$3 | -64% |
| Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 17 | $76 | +$14 | +19% |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | May 19 | $33 | −$6 | -18% |
| Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Mar 20 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Feb 08 | $161 | +$230 | +142% |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Feb 07 | $172 | +$14 | +8% |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Jan 31 | $60 | +$6 | +10% |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Jan 22 | $102 | −$9 | -9% |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | Jan 16 | $228 | +$8 | +4% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Jan 07 | $204 | +$2 | +1% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Jan 07 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 5? | Jan 05 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 5? | Jan 05 | $100 | +$3 | +3% |