Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:38:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac17…5469
other · 3 markets active 2h ago
5.5score
+$13 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $22 +$8 +37%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 +$3 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 80% +$10
sports 20% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $30 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 72¢ $10 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 71¢ $12 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $11 6h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $11 6h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 71¢ $8 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $9 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +32.1% +19.6% 100% 100% +20.8%
≤30d 3 +32.1% +19.6% 100% 100% +20.8%
≤90d 3 +32.1% +19.6% 100% 100% +20.8%
all 3 +32.1% +19.6% 100% 100% +20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +19.6% 100% +20.8%
10% +8.1% 67% +9.2%
15% -2.3% 67% -1.3%
20% -11.9% 0% -11.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records