Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:00:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AC
0xac14…23f1
crypto · 67 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$38 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses36 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage199d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 09 $10 −$1 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jan 20 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? Jan 20 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jan 19 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jan 19 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jan 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jan 19 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jan 19 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jan 19 $1 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down on January 19? Jan 19 $1 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down on January 19? Jan 19 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jan 19 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jan 19 $1 $0 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jan 19 $1 $0 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jan 19 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down on January 19? Jan 19 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jan 19 $1 +$1 +75%
Solana Up or Down on January 18? Jan 19 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? Jan 19 $1 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? Jan 18 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jan 18 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jan 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jan 18 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down on January 17? Jan 17 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down on January 17? Jan 17 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on January 17? Jan 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? Jan 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jan 17 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jan 17 $1 +$1 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jan 17 $1 +$1 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Dec 05 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Dec 05 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - December 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Dec 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Dec 05 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Dec 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Dec 05 $2 +$2 +96%
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Dec 05 $2 +$1 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $6 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $9 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 36d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $7 145d
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? BUY Down 99¢ $7 146d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 146d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 146d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 146d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 146d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $2 146d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 146d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 146d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 146d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -22.8% -30.1% 50% 50% -26.9%
≤30d 12 -22.8% -30.1% 50% 50% -26.9%
≤90d 14 -27.3% -34.2% 43% 43% -30.2%
all 67 -11.9% -20.3% 54% 45% -27.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.3% 45% -27.4%
10% -27.9% 36% -34.4%
15% -34.9% 31% -40.7%
20% -41.3% 27% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 127 history records