Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabf0…ea2b
crypto · 368 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$540 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$540 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$540
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses230 / 138
Open positions0
Markets (closed)368 / 368
History coverage6d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day108.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 368 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$68
7 days−$540
14 days−$540
30 days−$540
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$540
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 368 -12.2% -20.6% 62% 24% -11.8%
≤30d 368 -12.2% -20.6% 62% 24% -11.8%
≤90d 368 -12.2% -20.6% 62% 24% -11.8%
all 368 -12.2% -20.6% 62% 24% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 24% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 15% -20.3%
15% -35.1% 13% -28.0%
20% -41.5% 10% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 976 history records