Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:38:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabe0…5adb
sports · 1056 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$7,400 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,202 · open −$198
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$482
Realized−$7,202
Unrealized−$198
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses589 / 466
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$3,473
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1055 / 1056
History coverage125d
Avg bet$314
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 1055 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$343
7 days+$664
14 days−$1,860
30 days−$1,595
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 85¢ 60¢ $680 $482 −$198 (-29%)
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Monday Johannus Monday 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Andres Andrade 64¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Golden State Valkyries 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Giorgia Pedone Mayar Sherif 38¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic Jun 13 $202 −$144 -71%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $806 +$274 +34%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $625 +$202 +32%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $1,268 −$203 -16%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $322 +$13 +4%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $625 +$202 +32%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $754 −$134 -18%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $263 +$149 +57%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $1,144 +$51 +4%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $592 −$17 -3%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $277 −$158 -57%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny Jun 10 $171 +$8 +5%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $151 $0 -0%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $26 −$2 -10%
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth Jun 09 $303 +$117 +39%
Cattolica: Max Hans Rehberg vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 09 $503 +$106 +21%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,471 +$29 +2%
Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Besiktas Jun 08 $503 −$44 -9%
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 08 $167 −$49 -29%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane Jun 08 $71 +$54 +76%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 08 $71 +$42 +60%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $654 +$63 +10%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan Jun 07 $192 +$113 +59%
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Jun 06 $61 +$41 +67%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 06 $242 −$48 -20%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $540 +$11 +2%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $735 +$214 +29%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $61 −$60 -99%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Jun 05 $66 +$33 +50%
Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Giorgia Pedone Jun 04 $45 −$44 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $66 +$36 +54%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $1,135 +$61 +5%
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Monday Jun 03 $2 −$2 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $708 −$210 -30%
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Jun 03 $69 −$69 -100%
Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty Jun 03 $80 +$52 +65%
Roland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 03 $124 −$91 -73%
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Petr Bar Biryukov Jun 03 $293 +$83 +28%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Mayar Sherif Jun 03 $9 −$9 -100%
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 03 $232 −$232 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 03 $233 −$233 -100%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 03 $910 −$900 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $373 −$254 -68%
Centurion 2: Devin Badenhorst vs Eliakim Coulibaly Jun 03 $263 +$125 +48%
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 03 $221 +$44 +20%
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Barton Jun 02 $1,598 −$883 -55%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $760 +$343 +45%
Perugia: Liam Broady vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 02 $604 +$146 +24%
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 02 $602 +$7 +1%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $1,012 +$76 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$9,578
other 4% +$763
crypto 2% +$1,415
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 85¢ $683 4m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic SELL James Duckworth 19¢ $58 57m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic BUY James Duckworth 64¢ $202 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic SELL Daniil Medvedev 100¢ $1,080 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Daniil Medvedev 74¢ $806 3h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 75¢ $625 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 43¢ $203 25h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 89¢ $429 26h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 86¢ $862 26h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 83¢ $839 27h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever SELL Indiana Fever 85¢ $335 38h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 81¢ $322 39h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 75¢ $625 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 70¢ $619 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 84¢ $754 2d
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom SELL Henrique Rocha 100¢ $412 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 100¢ $599 2d
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom BUY Henrique Rocha 63¢ $263 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 95¢ $571 2d
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith SELL Keegan Smith 87¢ $560 2d
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith SELL Keegan Smith 89¢ $15 2d
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith BUY Keegan Smith 89¢ $592 2d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 86¢ $595 3d
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 82¢ $573 3d
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu SELL Yibing Wu 34¢ $119 3d
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu BUY Yibing Wu 77¢ $277 3d
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny SELL Zdenek Kolar 79¢ $179 3d
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny BUY Zdenek Kolar 74¢ $171 3d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs SELL Zizou Bergs 70¢ $151 3d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY Zizou Bergs 69¢ $151 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +10.8% +0.2% 60% 40% -4.3%
≤30d 158 +3.4% -6.4% 55% 41% -11.5%
≤90d 842 -8.0% -16.8% 51% 39% -12.9%
all 1055 +0.2% -9.4% 56% 45% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 45% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 35% -20.0%
15% -26.0% 25% -27.7%
20% -33.2% 17% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $482.45 · official $482.45 (match) · 2824 history records