Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:35:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabde…8ea5
crypto · 21 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses13 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 13 $1 $0 -14%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -66%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% $0
other 14% −$2
sports 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -10.5% -19.0% 62% 10% -16.2%
≤30d 21 -10.5% -19.0% 62% 10% -16.2%
≤90d 21 -10.5% -19.0% 62% 10% -16.2%
all 21 -10.5% -19.0% 62% 10% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 10% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 0% -24.3%
15% -33.8% 0% -31.6%
20% -40.3% 0% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.18 · official $5.18 (match) · 41 history records