Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:44:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabda…cb56
crypto · 23 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$36 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses13 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day60.0
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$36
14 days+$36
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$11 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$8 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$18 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$17 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$17 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$5 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$12 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$8 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $12 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $8 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $27 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $17 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +27.4% +15.3% 57% 52% +2.0%
≤30d 23 +27.4% +15.3% 57% 52% +2.0%
≤90d 23 +27.4% +15.3% 57% 52% +2.0%
all 23 +27.4% +15.3% 57% 52% +2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.3% 52% +2.0%
10% ← realistic here +4.3% 43% -7.7%
15% -5.8% 35% -16.6%
20% -15.0% 35% -24.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 64 history records