Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:35:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabd6…bc2c
crypto · 863 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,102 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,102 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,102
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses681 / 182
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)863 / 863
History coverage51d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day39.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 863 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$866
7 days−$926
14 days−$1,199
30 days−$1,148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $301 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$45 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $3,710 +$143 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1,270 −$1,066 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $201 +$19 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $402 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $250 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $200 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$21 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $250 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $406 +$98 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$64 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1,704 +$58 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $752 +$24 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$50 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $251 +$18 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $451 +$24 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1,021 −$45 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $251 +$19 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$102 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$76 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $251 +$17 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $162 −$160 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $300 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$3 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $11 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $44 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $51 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $50 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 246 -2.9% -12.2% 83% 21% -12.2%
≤30d 547 -1.5% -10.9% 85% 23% -10.7%
≤90d 863 -1.3% -10.7% 79% 35% -10.6%
all 863 -1.3% -10.7% 79% 35% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 35% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 16% -19.1%
15% -27.0% 10% -26.9%
20% -34.2% 7% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2752 history records