Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabcf…2f8d
other · 12 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$92 +30%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$79 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$93
Realized+$79
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses3 / 6
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)9 / 12
History coverage2d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 3 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$79
7 days+$79
14 days+$79
30 days+$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 94¢ $50 $57 +$7 (+14%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 61¢ 78¢ $20 $26 +$6 (+29%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 49¢ 52¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $61 +$69 +114%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 +$29 +344%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $49 +$81 +165%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 84% +$67
sports 16% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 49¢ $10 12m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $20 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $50 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 22¢ $8 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $61 22h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $20 24h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $9 27h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 27h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 27h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 27h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $131 38h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $49 2d
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) BUY South Africa 3¢ $10 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $31 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +2.6% -7.2% 33% 33% +23.0%
≤30d 9 +2.6% -7.2% 33% 33% +23.0%
≤90d 9 +2.6% -7.2% 33% 33% +23.0%
all 9 +2.6% -7.2% 33% 33% +23.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 33% +23.0%
10% -16.1% 33% +11.2%
15% -24.2% 33% +0.5%
20% -31.6% 33% -9.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $93.28 · official $93.28 (match) · 19 history records