Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:27:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabc7…4af7
sports · 242 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$168 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$165
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses125 / 112
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions5
Markets (closed)237 / 242
History coverage25d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day21.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 5 History 237 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$4
14 days−$75
30 days−$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 35¢ 34¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Miami Marlins 66¢ 66¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Baltimore Orioles 64¢ 48¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-25%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 50¢ 44¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group B Betclic Apogee Esports 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs SU Esports 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Lynn Vision 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Supernova vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs Supernova 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs NRG Esports 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 10? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$1 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 +$1 +48%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 +$2 +65%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $4 +$2 +55%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 10? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $2 +$1 +28%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 09 $2 +$1 +55%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 08 $5 $0 -5%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs BALU (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 08 $10 −$2 -26%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $9 $0 +4%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8? Jun 08 $2 +$6 +282%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 07 $25 −$10 -40%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $10 +$7 +70%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 06 $15 −$9 -64%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $3 $0 -4%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 06 $15 −$15 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 06 $5 +$3 +60%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $3 +$3 +101%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $7 +$2 +29%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5 Jun 06 $4 +$2 +52%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 05 $8 −$5 -57%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 05 $5 $0 -8%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 05 $5 −$5 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5 Jun 05 $10 +$6 +57%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $6 −$6 -99%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Mi Jun 05 $3 $0 -6%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 05 $1 $0 -30%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 05 $1 $0 -24%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $5 +$1 +12%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $5 +$4 +70%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 Jun 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 04 $5 +$4 +70%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 03 $2 −$1 -99%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 03 $5 +$2 +31%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 Jun 03 $5 −$5 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 03 $5 −$5 -99%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 03 $5 −$5 -99%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 03 $4 −$4 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 03 $5 +$3 +59%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 03 $8 +$8 +101%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 02 $8 −$8 -100%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart Jun 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$129
crypto 42% −$34
other 2% −$6
weather 1% −$3
politics 1% +$4
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 50¢ $5 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 50¢ $5 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 35¢ $10 1h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Miami Marlins 66¢ $7 1h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) SELL Baltimore Orioles 36¢ $7 1h
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 64¢ $8 1h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 38¢ $7 1h
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) BUY Detroit Tigers 67¢ $3 4d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 64¢ $4 4d
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 60¢ $3 4d
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 10? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 4d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 4d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 4d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 62¢ $3 4d
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) BUY New York Yankees 64¢ $2 4d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 4d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 47¢ $5 4d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 47¢ $2 5d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 48¢ $5 5d
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs BALU (BO3) - European Pro League Group A SELL VP.Prodigy 100¢ $7 5d
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs BALU (BO3) - European Pro League Group A SELL BALU 3¢ $0 5d
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs BALU (BO3) - European Pro League Group A BUY VP.Prodigy 95¢ $6 5d
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs BALU (BO3) - European Pro League Group A BUY BALU 28¢ $3 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $10 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $9 5d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8? SELL Yes 99¢ $8 5d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $10 5d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 5d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +4.2% -5.7% 50% 44% -14.2%
≤30d 237 -10.8% -19.3% 53% 46% -20.0%
≤90d 237 -10.8% -19.3% 53% 46% -20.0%
all 237 -10.8% -19.3% 53% 46% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 46% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 35% -27.6%
15% -34.0% 26% -34.6%
20% -40.5% 19% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.20 · official $32.20 (match) · 665 history records