trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -12.7% | -21.0% | 0% | 0% | -21.0% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 0% | 0% | -17.1% |
| all | 20 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 30% | 25% | +4.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 25% | +4.7% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 15% | -5.3% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 15% | -14.5% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 15% | -22.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $95 | $95 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | -13% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $13 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $15 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Apr 15 | $11 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 13 | $19 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $15 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $6 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 28 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Mar 24 | $46 | +$54 | +117% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 24 | $3 | $0 | -10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Mar 19 | $83 | +$16 | +19% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 19 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | Mar 19 | $93 | +$7 | +8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Mar 19 | $101 | −$2 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Mar 19 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Mar 19 | $85 | +$15 | +18% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Mar 19 | $116 | +$61 | +53% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Mar 19 | $85 | +$84 | +99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | Mar 19 | $96 | −$55 | -57% |