Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:39:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AB 0xabc2…7048 crypto 196 markets active 7h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (2261 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$11,240 (+71%) realized +$11,240 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -59% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -68% what you keep after slip
Net edge-68%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate21%89W / 326L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$80per market
Trades / day2260.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$803
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2261 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-63.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 415 -59.1% -63.0% 21% 20% -50.7%
≤30d 415 -59.1% -63.0% 21% 20% -50.7%
≤90d 415 -59.1% -63.0% 21% 20% -50.7%
all 415 -59.1% -63.0% 21% 20% -50.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2260.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -63.0% 20% -50.7%
10% ← realistic here -66.6% 20% -55.4%
15% -69.8% 18% -59.7%
20% -72.8% 15% -63.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -46% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -59% · $-wt -46% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
17.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$62 vs −$55 · ×1.14 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.31 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$11,240
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses89 / 326
Open positions0
Markets (closed)415 / 196
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$80
Trades / day2260.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 415 Trades
no open positions (303 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $311 −$311 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $248 −$248 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8PM ET Jun 15 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $87 −$87 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records