Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:36:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AB 0xabb5…ea33 crypto 629 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d only
✗ bot/MM pace (405 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$547 (+2%) realized +$547 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate88%555W / 76L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown57%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day404.5pace
Fees−$93est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 53% −$177
sports 42% +$553
other 5% +$322
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (405 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 631 -0.2% -9.7% 88% 30% -7.6%
≤30d 631 -0.2% -9.7% 88% 30% -7.6%
≤90d 631 -0.2% -9.7% 88% 30% -7.6%
all 631 -0.2% -9.7% 88% 30% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover404.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 30% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 5% -16.4%
15% -26.2% 3% -24.5%
20% -33.5% 2% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
59% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$42 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$547
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses555 / 76
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$93
Open positions0
Markets (closed)631 / 629
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$51
Trades / day404.5
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 631 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 15? Jun 17 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14? Jun 17 $16 −$33 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$22 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$3 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $18 +$2 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$3 +13%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics Jun 17 $378 −$294 -78%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 17 $514 +$66 +13%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 17 $417 +$25 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$1 +5%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 17 $369 +$73 +20%
ITF Zhengzhou: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yufei Ren Jun 17 $247 −$133 -54%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$1 +4%
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 17 $233 +$55 +24%
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros Jun 17 $412 +$40 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +4%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $452 +$82 +18%
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 17 $106 +$23 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $23 +$4 +16%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 17 $77 +$18 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $22 +$1 +6%
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 17 $542 +$70 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +7%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 17 $550 +$24 +4%
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals Jun 17 $234 +$21 +9%
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers Jun 17 $190 +$13 +7%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever Jun 17 $725 +$104 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $59 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $18 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $76 +$5 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $19 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $19 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $68 +$3 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $23 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $23 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $23 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $22 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $22 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $22 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $15 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $22 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $22 4h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 20¢ $84 4h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 100¢ $580 4h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 89¢ $111 4h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 89¢ $1 4h
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners SELL Seattle Mariners 100¢ $443 4h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 88¢ $80 4h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 88¢ $322 4h
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners BUY Seattle Mariners 95¢ $4 4h
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners BUY Seattle Mariners 94¢ $49 4h
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners BUY Seattle Mariners 94¢ $170 4h
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners BUY Seattle Mariners 94¢ $193 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $24 5h
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks SELL Los Angeles Angels 98¢ $441 5h
ITF Zhengzhou: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yufei Ren SELL Yufei Ren 38¢ $113 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.59 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records