Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T15:35:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.0
score
AB 0xabb3…f5b0 sports 252 markets active 1h ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL +$9,389 (+18%) realized +$9,367 · open +$22
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -2% what you keep after slip
Net edge-2%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate67%167W / 83L
Whale WR72%big bets
Drawdown12%max
Avg bet$208per market
Trades / day19.6pace
Fees−$433est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$307now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,660
7 days+$1,430
14 days+$5,572
30 days+$8,692
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 89% +$8,004
other 8% −$5
crypto 3% +$715
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 +25.3% +13.4% 71% 62% -2.0%
≤30d 250 +17.7% +6.5% 67% 60% +5.5%
≤90d 250 +17.7% +6.5% 67% 60% +5.5%
all 250 +17.7% +6.5% 67% 60% +5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +6.5% 60% +5.5%
10% -3.7% 50% -4.6%
15% -13.0% 39% -13.8%
20% -21.5% 31% -22.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +17% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +18% · $-wt +17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 72% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +6% → late +29% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$104 vs −$104 · ×1.0 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×2.01 per $1 lost it wins $2.01
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$307
Realized+$9,367
Unrealized+$22
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses167 / 83
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$433
Open positions2
Markets (closed)250 / 252
History coverage19d
Avg bet$208
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 250 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Suzan Lamens Elena Pridankina 46¢ 82¢ $26 $47 +$21 (+81%)
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia Alina Korneeva 86¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+16%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 67 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 24 $6 +$1 +18%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha Akugue Jun 24 $338 −$320 -95%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Zizou Bergs Jun 24 $981 +$19 +2%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Clement Tabur Jun 24 $471 +$34 +7%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary Stoiana Jun 24 $95 +$10 +11%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gauthier Onclin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Jun 24 $3 +$2 +86%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Jurij Rodionov Jun 24 $95 +$105 +111%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Joanna Garland vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 24 $4 +$3 +76%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Stefano Travaglia vs Yi Zhou Jun 24 $5 +$13 +238%
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Ognjen Milic Jun 24 $4 +$1 +38%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Oceane Dodin Jun 24 $10 −$10 -99%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Carol Young Suh Lee Jun 23 $4 +$1 +36%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 23 $50 +$50 +101%
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 23 $486 +$19 +4%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Xiaodi You vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 23 $3 +$2 +97%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mai Hontama vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 23 $11 +$4 +38%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Hayu Kinoshita vs Viktoriya Tomova Jun 23 $11 −$11 -99%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Lucie Havlickova Jun 23 $17 −$16 -99%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Harriet Dart Jun 23 $85 +$71 +83%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery Jun 23 $53 +$14 +27%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Jessika Ponchet Jun 23 $17 +$3 +20%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katie Volynets vs Laura Samson Jun 23 $50 −$25 -50%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Fiona Crawley vs Himeno Sakatsume Jun 23 $128 −$113 -88%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Gabriela Knutson Jun 23 $32 +$8 +26%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Varvara Lepchenko vs Anastasia Gasanova Jun 23 $492 +$63 +13%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Vendula Valdmannov Jun 23 $14 +$14 +104%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 23 $277 +$234 +84%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Anna Siskova Jun 23 $42 −$42 -99%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alice Rame vs Caroline Werner Jun 23 $5 −$5 -99%
Targu Mures: Miguel Damas vs Benjamin Hassan Jun 23 $9 −$9 -98%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Carol Zhao Jun 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katarzyna Kawa vs Susan Bandecchi Jun 23 $417 +$95 +23%
Targu Mures: Mili Poljicak vs Sumit Nagal Jun 23 $29 −$28 -98%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Francisca Jorge Jun 23 $30 +$20 +67%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Iryna Shymanovich Jun 23 $182 +$355 +195%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Angela Fita Boluda vs Lina Gjorcheska Jun 23 $28 −$27 -98%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anouk Koevermans vs Mananchaya Sawangkae Jun 23 $29 +$16 +56%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Linda Klimovicova Jun 23 $14 +$5 +34%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Taylah Preston Jun 23 $8 +$2 +28%
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 23 $19 +$4 +19%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Greet Minnen vs Fiona Ferro Jun 23 $4 +$1 +23%
Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 22 $279 +$230 +83%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Matej Dodig vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Jun 22 $704 +$325 +46%
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begu Jun 22 $38 +$62 +165%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Michael Mmoh Jun 22 $0 $0 +78%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Jun 22 $667 +$348 +52%
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 22 $5 +$1 +23%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Zhizhen Zhang vs Henry Searle Jun 22 $48 +$12 +26%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Crawford vs Jurij Rodionov Jun 22 $4 +$1 +38%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Jun 22 $884 +$112 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia BUY Alina Korneeva 86¢ $4 58m
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Zizou Bergs BUY Zizou Bergs 98¢ $490 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Zizou Bergs BUY Zizou Bergs 98¢ $490 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha Akugue BUY Noma Noha Akugue 49¢ $249 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 93¢ $471 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Suzan Lamens BUY Elena Pridankina 46¢ $26 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary Stoiana BUY Mananchaya Sawangkaew 90¢ $95 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha Akugue BUY Noma Noha Akugue 71¢ $72 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Christopher O'Connell BUY Christopher OConnell 84¢ $6 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha Akugue BUY Katherine Sebov 47¢ $9 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Jurij Rodionov BUY Remy Bertola 45¢ $91 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha Akugue BUY Noma Noha Akugue 23¢ $9 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Oceane Dodin BUY Lulu Sun 67¢ $10 4h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Stefano Travaglia vs Yi Zhou BUY Yi Zhou 29¢ $5 4h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Jurij Rodionov BUY Jurij Rodionov 90¢ $3 4h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Joanna Garland vs Tyra Caterina Grant BUY Tyra Caterina Grant 56¢ $4 4h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gauthier Onclin vs Shintaro Mochizuki BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 53¢ $3 5h
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Ognjen Milic BUY Ognjen Milic 72¢ $4 5h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Carol Young Suh Lee BUY Sarah Rakotomanga 73¢ $4 20h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Mattia Bellucci BUY Ugo Humbert 49¢ $50 20h
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Luciano Darderi 93¢ $471 22h
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Yannick Hanfmann 47¢ $15 22h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Hayu Kinoshita vs Viktoriya Tomova BUY Viktoriya Tomova 59¢ $11 22h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Lucie Havlickova BUY Lucie Havlickova 38¢ $5 22h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Lucie Havlickova BUY Lucie Havlickova 58¢ $11 23h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mai Hontama vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Mai Hontama 72¢ $11 23h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Xiaodi You vs Leolia Jeanjean BUY Leolia Jeanjean 50¢ $3 23h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Harriet Dart BUY Zeynep Sonmez 55¢ $84 23h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Harriet Dart BUY Zeynep Sonmez 25¢ $2 23h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Jessika Ponchet BUY Polina Kudermetova 83¢ $17 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $306.70 · official $311.29 · 559 history records