Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T16:45:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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AB 0xaba1…d737 crypto 1122 markets active 2h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (101 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$12,061 (-9%) realized −$12,061 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate53%598W / 524L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$114per market
Trades / day101.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$209
7 days+$395
14 days−$674
30 days−$9,226
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$9,226
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (101 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -7.4% -16.2% 47% 45% -0.3%
≤30d 1122 -4.8% -13.9% 53% 48% -16.1%
≤90d 1122 -4.8% -13.9% 53% 48% -16.1%
all 1122 -4.8% -13.9% 53% 48% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover101.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 48% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 42% -24.1%
15% -29.7% 34% -31.4%
20% -36.6% 25% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -11% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$53 vs −$78 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$12,061
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses598 / 524
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1122 / 1122
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$114
Trades / day101.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1122 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $279 −$270 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 19 $39 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 19 $78 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 19 $41 +$11 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 19 $210 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 19 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 19 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 19 $218 +$164 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $144 +$52 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $145 +$26 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$52 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 19 $36 +$12 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$4 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 18 $28 +$12 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 18 $42 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $13 +$8 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $157 +$262 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $63 +$156 +248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $34 +$135 +394%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $66 +$117 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $120 +$95 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $83 −$76 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $206 +$196 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $366 +$341 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$23 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $188 +$144 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $42 +$36 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$12 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $67 +$29 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $36 −$15 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 07 $46 −$38 -83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $279 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $339 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $207 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $222 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $209 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $196 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $144 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $171 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $145 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $121 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $47 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $48 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $36 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $63 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records