Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xaba0…6d01
sports · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$195 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$204 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$204
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses40 / 29
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)69 / 71
History coverage564d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 2 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$153
7 days−$153
14 days−$153
30 days−$153
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 72¢ 82¢ $27 $31 +$4 (+15%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 62¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+421%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $26 −$7 -28%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -86%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -86%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -56%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 +$3 +76%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $4 +$2 +44%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -56%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -58%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 $0 -40%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $4 +$2 +60%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $8 +$4 +49%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $3 $0 -5%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 $0 -4%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Heat vs. Raptors Jun 13 $139 −$112 -80%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$9 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$40 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% −$157
crypto 24% −$23
other 2% +$4
economics 1% −$20
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $12 0m
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) SELL Spurs 43¢ $6 3m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 5m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 7m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $15 37m
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 73¢ $11 40m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 50m
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) SELL Spurs 55¢ $5 50m
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 66¢ $6 55m
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) SELL Spurs 56¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 64¢ $9 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 27¢ $1 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 56¢ $4 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 25¢ $1 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL No 71¢ $4 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY No 68¢ $3 5h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $4 5h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? SELL Yes 29¢ $3 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 12¢ $1 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 31¢ $3 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -8.6% -17.3% 55% 42% -27.0%
≤30d 53 -8.6% -17.3% 55% 42% -27.0%
≤90d 53 -8.6% -17.3% 55% 42% -27.0%
all 69 -6.4% -15.4% 58% 45% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 45% -18.4%
10% -23.5% 35% -26.2%
15% -30.8% 22% -33.4%
20% -37.6% 14% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.41 · official $36.41 (match) · 190 history records