Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:44:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AB 0xab9e…2a82 crypto 152 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$9 (-0%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR64%break-even
Win rate64%98W / 54L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day89.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 -1.1% -10.5% 64% 64% -11.0%
≤30d 152 -1.1% -10.5% 64% 64% -11.0%
≤90d 152 -1.1% -10.5% 64% 64% -11.0%
all 152 -1.1% -10.5% 64% 64% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 64% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 64% -19.5%
15% -26.9% 57% -27.3%
20% -34.1% 35% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$30 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses98 / 54
Open positions0
Markets (closed)152 / 152
History coverage2d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day89.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 152 Trades
no open positions (52 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $46 +$26 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $45 +$23 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$22 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$24 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $48 −$47 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $47 +$24 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$39 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $103 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $154 −$150 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$23 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $103 +$46 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$28 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$28 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$20 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$24 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$23 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$25 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$26 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$24 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$24 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$19 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $45 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $49 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $50 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $48 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $47 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 323 history records