Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab8b…c19b
crypto · 542 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$58 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$58 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized+$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses228 / 312
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)540 / 542
History coverage34d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day23.9
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 540 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$3
14 days+$78
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 82¢ 80¢ $22 $22 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $18 +$4 +24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $14 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $12 +$5 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12AM ET Jun 09 $15 +$9 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Jun 09 $9 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$4 +669%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1AM ET Jun 05 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12AM ET Jun 05 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11PM ET Jun 05 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7PM ET Jun 05 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$3 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 03 $4 +$4 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$10 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 03 $3 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$52
sports 3% +$8
other 0% −$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 82¢ $22 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $18 11h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $14 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +9.0% -1.4% 56% 32% -8.2%
≤30d 474 +0.7% -8.9% 43% 33% -11.2%
≤90d 540 +1.6% -8.0% 42% 33% -10.0%
all 540 +1.6% -8.0% 42% 33% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 33% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 30% -18.6%
15% -24.9% 28% -26.5%
20% -32.2% 26% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.60 · official $21.60 (match) · 1104 history records