Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:34:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
AB 0xab87…117e sports 198 markets active 2d ago coverage 30d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2,534 (+12%) realized +$2,534 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate43%85W / 113L
Drawdown70%max
Avg bet$109per market
Trades / day13.4pace
Fees−$286est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$78
7 days+$239
14 days−$1,125
30 days+$1,939
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% +$1,779
other 1% +$162
crypto 0% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -9.4% -18.1% 42% 42% -0.3%
≤30d 185 -3.2% -12.4% 43% 42% -0.3%
≤90d 198 -4.9% -13.9% 43% 40% -1.2%
all 198 -4.9% -13.9% 43% 40% -1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 40% -1.2%
10% -22.2% 39% -10.7%
15% -29.7% 35% -19.3%
20% -36.6% 30% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +9% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +25% → late -34% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$107 vs −$64 · ×1.68 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.27 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,534
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses85 / 113
Est. fees paid−$286
Open positions0
Markets (closed)198 / 198
History coverage30d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 198 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $79 +$78 +98%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $61 −$60 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $304 −$193 -63%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $57 −$53 -93%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $117 +$91 +78%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $67 +$77 +116%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $221 +$265 +120%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $183 +$171 +94%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $72 −$71 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $324 −$1 -0%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $39 +$16 +40%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $46 +$83 +181%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $112 +$79 +70%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $85 −$84 -99%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 11 $41 −$3 -7%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $293 −$47 -16%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $81 −$73 -89%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $11 +$8 +67%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $15 +$8 +52%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $75 −$73 -97%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $41 −$40 -98%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $55 −$54 -98%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playof Jun 10 $200 +$179 +90%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $97 +$73 +75%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $22 −$21 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $30 +$82 +278%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $152 −$103 -68%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $157 −$155 -99%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $13 −$13 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 10 $307 −$307 -100%
Map Handicap: Invicta (-1.5) vs L.820 (+1.5) Jun 10 $56 +$115 +205%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $264 +$306 +116%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $254 +$139 +55%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $92 +$36 +40%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $226 +$26 +11%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Pl Jun 09 $55 +$145 +262%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 08 $68 +$140 +204%
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs RoundsGG (+1.5) Jun 08 $89 −$88 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $89 −$87 -98%
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $146 −$135 -93%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $323 −$320 -99%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 08 $54 −$53 -98%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualif Jun 07 $121 +$39 +32%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $103 +$156 +152%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports Challenger 50¢ $79 2d
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud Rising 15¢ $17 2d
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud Rising 23¢ $44 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 95¢ $106 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 35¢ $158 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 22¢ $40 3d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 74¢ $3 3d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 26¢ $54 3d
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner BUY fnatic 55¢ $117 3d
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner BUY HEROIC Academy 46¢ $67 3d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 15¢ $21 3d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 31¢ $72 3d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $485 3d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 38¢ $3 3d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 50¢ $180 3d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $500 3d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 50¢ $112 3d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $6 3d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 38¢ $103 4d
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 2 Winner BUY Atputies 10¢ $26 4d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 18¢ $1 4d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $323 4d
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 1 Winner BUY Atputies 8¢ $15 4d
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Oxuji Esports 55¢ $9 5d
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Oxuji Esports 51¢ $76 5d
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 58¢ $112 5d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY KOLESIE 71¢ $39 5d
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Iowa Stormboar 72¢ $38 5d
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Iowa Stormboar 76¢ $41 5d
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY UNiTY esports 35¢ $46 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 521 history records