Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:15:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab82…abe5
sports · 47 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$327,462 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$344,599 · open +$6,761
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$88,050
Realized−$344,599
Unrealized+$6,761
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses18 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)27%
Est. fees paid−$11,915
Open positions6
Markets (closed)42 / 47
History coverage67d
Avg bet$23,930
Trades / day51.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 6 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,805
7 days−$3,805
14 days+$6,446
30 days+$2,522
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes 70¢ 75¢ $36,093 $38,531 +$2,438 (+7%)
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 40¢ 44¢ $27,205 $29,554 +$2,349 (+9%)
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 23¢ 26¢ $12,693 $14,671 +$1,978 (+16%)
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $4,663 $4,952 +$289 (+6%)
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 12¢ 6¢ $589 $324 −$265 (-45%)
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $46 $17 −$28 (-62%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $655 $0 −$655 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Juan Manuel Cerundolo 35¢ 0¢ $9,485 $0 −$9,485 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $3,805 $0 −$3,805 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima Brandon Nakashima 18¢ 0¢ $6,297 $0 −$6,297 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Rafael Jodar 50¢ 0¢ $16,267 $0 −$16,267 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Minnesota Twins 24¢ 0¢ $3,775 $0 −$3,775 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana Francisco Comesana 37¢ 0¢ $8,419 $0 −$8,419 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Madison Keys 31¢ 0¢ $10,051 $0 −$10,051 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Houston Astros 41¢ 0¢ $4,100 $0 −$4,100 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile Pierluigi Basile 29¢ 0¢ $705 $0 −$705 (-100%)
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $2,700 $0 −$2,700 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda Francisco Cerundolo 61¢ 0¢ $19,139 $0 −$19,139 (-100%)
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? Yes 79¢ 0¢ $11,371 $0 −$11,371 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $3,823 −$3,805 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $5,795 +$3,705 +64%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $9,593 −$9,485 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 01 $10,214 −$10,051 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $15,000 +$13,509 +90%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $12,009 +$8,594 +72%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 30 $3,861 −$3,775 -98%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2,204 +$4,457 +202%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 30 $5,462 +$5,126 +94%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 30 $6,429 −$6,297 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $20,821 +$19,179 +92%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana May 30 $8,425 −$8,419 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $19,334 −$19,139 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros May 30 $4,173 −$4,100 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals May 30 $9,778 +$16,947 +173%
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners May 20 $13,545 +$10,125 +75%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi May 13 $16,469 −$16,267 -99%
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? May 13 $2,700 −$2,700 -100%
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $9,456 +$5,528 +58%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $617 −$611 -99%
Sabres vs. Canadiens May 13 $1,100 +$1,400 +127%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev May 12 $396 +$4 +1%
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score May 12 $3,700 +$6,300 +170%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $8,873 +$4,313 +49%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluig May 04 $720 −$705 -98%
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? May 04 $11,440 −$11,371 -99%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? Apr 20 $1,256 −$1,079 -86%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? Apr 18 $129,384 +$194,968 +151%
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Apr 14 $92,693 −$92,693 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12? Apr 14 $34,528 −$34,528 -100%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11? Apr 12 $60,629 −$60,629 -100%
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims) Apr 12 $60,071 −$60,071 -100%
Will Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Apr 12 $41,945 −$41,945 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Apr 12 $20,094 +$9,829 +49%
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) Apr 11 $43,083 +$19,291 +45%
Pistons vs. Hornets Apr 11 $151,800 −$151,800 -100%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? Apr 10 $81,622 −$81,622 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09? Apr 10 $3,309 +$1,909 +58%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? Apr 09 $5 $0 -8%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Apr 09 $41,960 +$52,355 +125%
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-06? Apr 06 $54,240 −$54,240 -100%
Will Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw? Apr 06 $46,805 −$46,805 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% −$408,391
other 21% −$123,335
politics 12% +$194,968
finance 0% −$1,080
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? BUY Yes 44¢ $1,065 2h
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? BUY Yes 25¢ $981 19h
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? BUY Yes 25¢ $789 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $43 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $11 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $11 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $43 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $30 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $92 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $68 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 19h
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? BUY Yes 24¢ $717 20h
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? BUY Yes 42¢ $1,173 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $318 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $11 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $662 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $96 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $46 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 47¢ $0 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 47¢ $3 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 47¢ $20 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 47¢ $18 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 20 -8.9% -17.6% 45% 45% -8.2%
≤90d 42 -14.6% -22.7% 43% 40% -38.7%
all 42 -14.6% -22.7% 43% 40% -38.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.7% 40% -38.7%
10% -30.1% 40% -44.6%
15% ← realistic here -36.9% 40% -49.9%
20% -43.1% 33% -54.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88,049.97 · official $88,049.97 (match) · 3500 history records